Over 1.5 goals@1.33
Over 1.5
75%
GRESuper League 1 · Matchday 7Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Dimotiko Stadio Paralias
Kalamata
8th · 11 pts4–3FULL TIME
OFI
6th · 16 pts30% Kalamata
25% Draw
45% OFI
OUR PICK
OFI to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.22
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.52
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.39X3.9422.22
Goals 2.5Over1.98Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.85NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.98
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.85
GG
54%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
KalamataOFI1.6Goals per game1.6
2.0Conceded per game1.3
1.22Points per game1.78
33%Win rate56%
-4Goal difference2
7Form, last 5 (pts)7
Kalamata form
DWLWWH Iraklis 19081–1
A Nestos Chrisoupolis0–2
A Olympiakos Piraeus5–0
H OFI4–3
A PAOK1–3
OFI form
WLWLLA Panetolikos0–1
A Larisa1–0
H PAOK2–1
H Bayer Leverkusen0–2
A Kalamata4–3
Head to head
1
Kalamata
0
Draw
0
OFI
Oct 2026Kalamata – OFI4–3
Super League 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Panathinaikos9+1624
2Olympiakos Piraeus9+1122
3PAOK9+618
4AEK Athens FC8+1617
5Aris Thessalonikis9-416
6OFI9+216
7Kifisia9-211
8Kalamata9-411
9Iraklis 19089-210
10Panetolikos9-99
Match preview
Our model makes OFI slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.22 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.18 for Kalamata, 1.52 for OFI), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kalamata sit 8th on 11 points; OFI are 6th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.