Over 1.5 goals@1.21
Over 1.5
82%
GRESuper League 1 · Matchday 9Monday, 2 November 2026 · Dimotiko Stadio Paralias
Kalamata
8th · 10 pts18:30KICK-OFF WAT
Iraklis 1908
9th · 9 pts44% Kalamata
23% Draw
33% Iraklis
OUR PICK
Kalamata to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.29
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.46
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.29X4.2823.03
Goals 2.5Over1.63Under2.42
Both scoreGG1.59NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.63
Over 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.59
GG
63%
Double chance@1.31
12
77%
Season stats
KalamataIraklis 19081.6Goals per game1.1
2.1Conceded per game1.4
1.25Points per game1.13
38%Win rate25%
-4Goal difference-2
9Form, last 5 (pts)5
Kalamata form
No recent matches.
Iraklis 1908 form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Kalamata
0
Draw
0
Iraklis
These sides haven't met recently.
Super League 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Olympiakos Piraeus9+1122
2Panathinaikos8+1421
3AEK Athens FC7+1817
4Aris Thessalonikis8-116
5PAOK8+515
6OFI8+113
7Kifisia9-211
8Kalamata8-410
9Iraklis 19088-29
10Panetolikos8-89
Match preview
Our model makes Kalamata slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.29 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.71 for Kalamata, 1.46 for Iraklis 1908), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kalamata sit 8th on 10 points; Iraklis 1908 are 9th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.