Over 1.5 goals@1.39
Over 1.5
72%
SOUPremier Soccer League · Matchday 8Tuesday, 13 October 2026 · FNB Stadium
Kaizer Chiefs
5th · 14 pts1–1FULL TIME
Stellenbosch
8th · 10 pts54% Kaizer
25% Draw
22% Stellenbosch
OUR PICK
Kaizer Chiefs to win
Model probability 54% · fair odds
1.87
Expected goals
1.61 – 0.92
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.87X4.0124.65
Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.86
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.86
Under 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.93
NG
52%
Double chance@1.27
1X
78%
Season stats
Kaizer ChiefsStellenbosch1.6Goals per game1.0
1.1Conceded per game1.1
1.56Points per game1.11
33%Win rate22%
4Goal difference-1
6Form, last 5 (pts)6
Kaizer Chiefs form
LWWLDA Orlando Pirates2–1
H TS Galaxy3–0
H Red Arrows1–0
A Red Arrows1–0
H Stellenbosch1–1
Stellenbosch form
LWDWDH Chippa United0–2
A Durban City0–2
A Kaizer Chiefs1–1
A Kruger United0–1
H Sekhukhune United1–1
Head to head
1
Kaizer
2
Draw
2
Stellenbosch
Oct 2026Kaizer Chiefs – Stellenbosch1–1
Feb 2026Kaizer Chiefs – Stellenbosch1–2
Feb 2026Stellenbosch – Kaizer Chiefs2–1
Oct 2025Stellenbosch – Kaizer Chiefs0–0
Aug 2025Stellenbosch – Kaizer Chiefs0–2
Premier Soccer League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Mamelodi Sundowns10+1826
2Orlando Pirates9+1925
3Amazulu9+522
4Milford FC10+418
5Kaizer Chiefs9+414
6Sekhukhune United9014
7Chippa United9-111
8Stellenbosch9-110
9Kruger United9-610
10Golden Arrows9-28
Match preview
Our model makes Kaizer Chiefs clear favourites, giving them a 54% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.87 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.61 for Kaizer Chiefs, 0.92 for Stellenbosch), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kaizer Chiefs sit 5th on 14 points; Stellenbosch are 8th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.