WORUEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 2Thursday, 22 October 2026 · Almaty Central Stadium

Kairat Almaty

31st · 1 pts

1–5FULL TIME

Panathinaikos

1st · 6 pts

40% Kairat

25% Draw

35% Panathinaikos

OUR PICK

Kairat Almaty to win

Model probability 40% · fair odds

2.50

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.33

Confidence

Low

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X212.50X3.9522.89

Goals 2.5Over1.90Under2.01

Both scoreGG1.78NG2.14

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.31

Over 1.5

77%

Over/Under 2.5@1.90

Over 2.5

53%

Both teams to score@1.78

56%

Double chance@1.34

75%

Season stats

Kairat AlmatyPanathinaikos

1.0Goals per game3.5

3.0Conceded per game1.0

0.50Points per game3.00

0%Win rate100%

-4Goal difference5

1Form, last 5 (pts)6

Kairat Almaty form

DDLWD

H Altay1–1

A Aktobe2–2

H Panathinaikos1–5

H Irtysh5–0

A Riga1–1

Panathinaikos form

WWWWW

H AEK Athens FC2–0

H Aris Thessalonikis2–1

A Volos NFC0–1

A Kairat Almaty1–5

H Asteras Tripolis5–1

Head to head

Kairat

Draw

Panathinaikos

Oct 2026Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos1–5

UEFA Europa Conference League table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Panathinaikos2+56

2FC Lugano2+46

3Brann2+46

4Trabzonspor2+46

5Twente2+46

6Monaco2+46

7St. Truiden2+36

8HNK Hajduk Split2+26

9Brighton2+44

10FC Copenhagen2+34

Match preview

Our model sees little between the sides: Kairat Almaty 40%, the draw 25%, Panathinaikos 35%.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.50 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.45 for Kairat Almaty, 1.33 for Panathinaikos), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Kairat Almaty sit 31st on 1 points; Panathinaikos are 1st on 6.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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