Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
75%
ZAMSuper League · Matchday 1Saturday, 3 October 2026
Kabwe Warriors
3rd · 0 pts1–1FULL TIME
ZESCO United
1st · 0 pts44% Kabwe
25% Draw
30% ZESCO
OUR PICK
Kabwe Warriors to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.26
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.21
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.26X3.9423.28
Goals 2.5Over1.96Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.83NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.96
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.83
GG
55%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
Kabwe WarriorsZESCO United0.0Goals per game0.0
0.0Conceded per game0.0
0.00Points per game0.00
0%Win rate0%
0Goal difference0
0Form, last 5 (pts)0
Kabwe Warriors form
DLWA Green Eagles0–0
H Green Buffaloes1–2
H Mutondo Stars3–2
ZESCO United form
DWWDLA Nkwazi0–0
A Roan United0–4
H Mutondo Stars5–0
H Mufulira Wanderers0–0
H Green Eagles0–1
Head to head
1
Kabwe
1
Draw
3
ZESCO
Oct 2026Kabwe Warriors – ZESCO United1–1
May 2026Kabwe Warriors – ZESCO United0–1
Jan 2026ZESCO United – Kabwe Warriors1–0
Apr 2025Kabwe Warriors – ZESCO United0–1
Nov 2024ZESCO United – Kabwe Warriors0–2
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Zanaco000
2Nchanga Rangers000
3Nkana000
4Power Dynamos000
5Konkola Blades000
6NAPSA Stars000
7Man Utd Zambia Academy000
8Kansanshi Dynamos000
9Trident000
10Makeni All Stars000
Match preview
Our model makes Kabwe Warriors slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.26 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.51 for Kabwe Warriors, 1.21 for ZESCO United), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Kabwe Warriors sit 3rd on 0 points; ZESCO United are 1st on 0.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.