Over 1.5 goals@1.33
Over 1.5
75%
BELChallenger Pro League · Matchday 7Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Planet Group Arena
KAA Gent II
9th · 11 pts3–2FULL TIME
Seraing United
13th · 8 pts44% KAA
26% Draw
31% Seraing
OUR PICK
KAA Gent II to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.29
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.21
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.29X3.9223.25
Goals 2.5Over1.98Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.84NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.98
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.84
GG
54%
Double chance@1.34
12
74%
Season stats
KAA Gent IISeraing United1.4Goals per game1.3
1.6Conceded per game1.8
1.38Points per game0.89
38%Win rate22%
-2Goal difference-4
7Form, last 5 (pts)7
KAA Gent II form
WLWDLH K. Lierse S.K.2–0
A Lokeren-Temse2–0
H Seraing United3–2
A Club Brugge II2–2
H Dender0–1
Seraing United form
WWLLWH Liège1–0
H Excelsior Virton3–1
A Zulte Waregem3–0
A KAA Gent II3–2
A Knokke2–5
Head to head
3
KAA
0
Draw
0
Seraing
Oct 2026KAA Gent II – Seraing United3–2
Dec 2025KAA Gent II – Seraing United3–1
Sept 2025Seraing United – KAA Gent II0–2
Challenger Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Beerschot VA9+1624
2Dender8+919
3AS Eupen8+615
4Sporting Hasselt8-115
5Excelsior Virton8+413
6Lokeren-Temse8+213
7Patro Eisden9-112
8Francs Borains7-112
9KAA Gent II8-211
10Club Brugge II8-39
Match preview
Our model makes KAA Gent II slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.29 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.49 for KAA Gent II, 1.21 for Seraing United), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
KAA Gent II sit 9th on 11 points; Seraing United are 13th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.