Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
76%
BELChallenger Pro League · Matchday 9Friday, 30 October 2026 · Planet Group Arena
KAA Gent II
9th · 11 pts2–0FULL TIME
K. Lierse S.K.
12th · 8 pts39% KAA
26% Draw
35% K.
OUR PICK
KAA Gent II to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.55
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.32
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.55X3.9022.85
Goals 2.5Over1.95Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.81NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.95
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.81
GG
55%
Double chance@1.34
12
74%
Season stats
KAA Gent IIK. Lierse S.K.1.4Goals per game1.0
1.6Conceded per game1.4
1.38Points per game1.14
38%Win rate29%
-2Goal difference-3
7Form, last 5 (pts)5
KAA Gent II form
WLWDLH K. Lierse S.K.2–0
A Lokeren-Temse2–0
H Seraing United3–2
A Club Brugge II2–2
H Dender0–1
K. Lierse S.K. form
LWLLDA KAA Gent II2–0
H Francs Borains3–0
A Rochefort3–2
A Beerschot VA3–1
H Liège0–0
Head to head
2
KAA
1
Draw
0
K.
Oct 2026KAA Gent II – K. Lierse S.K.2–0
Feb 2026K. Lierse S.K. – KAA Gent II1–3
Sept 2025KAA Gent II – K. Lierse S.K.0–0
Challenger Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Beerschot VA9+1624
2Dender8+919
3AS Eupen8+615
4Sporting Hasselt8-115
5Excelsior Virton8+413
6Lokeren-Temse8+213
7Patro Eisden9-112
8Francs Borains7-112
9KAA Gent II8-211
10Club Brugge II8-39
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: KAA Gent II 39%, the draw 26%, K. Lierse S.K. 35%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.55 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.41 for KAA Gent II, 1.32 for K. Lierse S.K.), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
KAA Gent II sit 9th on 11 points; K. Lierse S.K. are 12th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.