Over 1.5 goals@1.46
Over 1.5
69%
BELChallenger Pro League · Matchday 7Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Herman Vanderpoorten Stadium
K. Lierse S.K.
12th · 8 pts3–0FULL TIME
Francs Borains
8th · 12 pts26% K.
27% Draw
47% Francs
OUR PICK
Francs Borains to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.12
Expected goals
0.97 – 1.41
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.86X3.7122.12
Goals 2.5Over2.25Under1.74
Both scoreGG2.01NG1.88
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.74
Under 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.88
NG
53%
Double chance@1.35
X2
74%
Season stats
K. Lierse S.K.Francs Borains1.0Goals per game1.3
1.4Conceded per game1.4
1.14Points per game1.71
29%Win rate57%
-3Goal difference-1
5Form, last 5 (pts)9
K. Lierse S.K. form
LWLLDA KAA Gent II2–0
H Francs Borains3–0
A Rochefort3–2
A Beerschot VA3–1
H Liège0–0
Francs Borains form
LLLWWA Beerschot VA3–0
A OH Leuven1–0
A K. Lierse S.K.3–0
A Diegem Sport0–1
H RSC Anderlecht II3–2
Head to head
3
K.
0
Draw
2
Francs
Oct 2026K. Lierse S.K. – Francs Borains3–0
Apr 2026K. Lierse S.K. – Francs Borains0–2
Dec 2025Francs Borains – K. Lierse S.K.0–1
Mar 2025Francs Borains – K. Lierse S.K.1–0
Oct 2024K. Lierse S.K. – Francs Borains4–0
Challenger Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Beerschot VA9+1624
2Dender8+919
3AS Eupen8+615
4Sporting Hasselt8-115
5Excelsior Virton8+413
6Lokeren-Temse8+213
7Patro Eisden9-112
8Francs Borains7-112
9KAA Gent II8-211
10Club Brugge II8-39
Match preview
Our model makes Francs Borains slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.12 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (0.97 for K. Lierse S.K., 1.41 for Francs Borains), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
K. Lierse S.K. sit 12th on 8 points; Francs Borains are 8th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.