Over 1.5 goals@1.37
Over 1.5
73%
BELChallenger Pro League · Matchday 10Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Herman Vanderpoortenstadion
K. Lierse S.K.
12th · 8 pts16:00KICK-OFF WAT
AS Eupen
3rd · 15 pts28% K.
26% Draw
46% AS
OUR PICK
AS Eupen to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.17
Expected goals
1.10 – 1.49
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.57X3.8722.17
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.92
Both scoreGG1.94NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.92
Under 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.94
GG
52%
Double chance@1.35
12
74%
Season stats
K. Lierse S.K.AS Eupen1.0Goals per game1.9
1.4Conceded per game1.1
1.14Points per game1.88
29%Win rate63%
-3Goal difference6
5Form, last 5 (pts)9
K. Lierse S.K. form
LWLLDA KAA Gent II2–0
H Francs Borains3–0
A Rochefort3–2
A Beerschot VA3–1
H Liège0–0
AS Eupen form
LLLWWH Excelsior Virton1–2
H Beerschot VA1–2
A KV Mechelen5–1
A RSC Anderlecht II0–2
H Alemannia Aachen3–1
Head to head
4
K.
0
Draw
0
AS
Mar 2026AS Eupen – K. Lierse S.K.0–1
Aug 2025K. Lierse S.K. – AS Eupen3–2
Feb 2025AS Eupen – K. Lierse S.K.1–3
Sept 2024K. Lierse S.K. – AS Eupen3–0
Challenger Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Beerschot VA9+1624
2Dender8+919
3AS Eupen8+615
4Sporting Hasselt8-115
5Excelsior Virton8+413
6Lokeren-Temse8+213
7Patro Eisden9-112
8Francs Borains7-112
9KAA Gent II8-211
10Club Brugge II8-39
Match preview
Our model makes AS Eupen slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.17 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.10 for K. Lierse S.K., 1.49 for AS Eupen), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
K. Lierse S.K. sit 12th on 8 points; AS Eupen are 3rd on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.