Over 1.5 goals@1.29
Over 1.5
78%
WORUEFA Europa League · League Stage - 3Thursday, 22 October 2026 · Allianz Stadium
Juventus
7th · 7 pts2–2FULL TIME
Rennes
13th · 5 pts60% Juventus
22% Draw
18% Rennes
OUR PICK
Juventus to win
Model probability 60% · fair odds
1.67
Expected goals
1.90 – 0.94
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.67X4.5525.50
Goals 2.5Over1.85Under2.05
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.85
Over 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.93
GG
52%
Double chance@1.22
1X
82%
Season stats
JuventusRennes3.0Goals per game1.3
1.0Conceded per game1.0
2.33Points per game1.67
67%Win rate33%
6Goal difference1
7Form, last 5 (pts)5
Juventus form
WLWDLH Napoli2–0
A Genoa2–0
A Lecce0–2
H Rennes2–2
H Lazio0–3
Rennes form
LWDLWA Nice5–2
H Strasbourg3–0
A Juventus2–2
A Paris FC4–3
H OFI2–1
Head to head
0
Juventus
1
Draw
0
Rennes
Oct 2026Juventus – Rennes2–2
UEFA Europa League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Benfica3+89
2Bayer Leverkusen3+89
3Bournemouth3+79
4Ferencvarosi TC3+69
5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39
6Union St. Gilloise3+77
7Juventus3+67
8Beşiktaş3+47
9Sunderland3+27
10AZ Alkmaar3+46
Match preview
Our model makes Juventus clear favourites, giving them a 60% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.67 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.90 for Juventus, 0.94 for Rennes), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Juventus sit 7th on 7 points; Rennes are 13th on 5.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.