Over 1.5 goals@1.39
Over 1.5
72%
ITASerie A · Matchday 10Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Allianz Stadium
Juventus
7th · 17 pts2–0FULL TIME
Napoli
8th · 14 pts36% Juventus
27% Draw
37% Napoli
OUR PICK
Napoli to win
Model probability 37% · fair odds
2.72
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.27
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.75X3.7322.72
Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.86
Both scoreGG1.94NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.86
Under 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.94
GG
52%
Double chance@1.37
12
73%
Season stats
JuventusNapoli1.3Goals per game1.7
1.0Conceded per game1.3
1.70Points per game1.40
50%Win rate40%
3Goal difference4
7Form, last 5 (pts)7
Juventus form
No recent matches.
Napoli form
DWDWLA Juventus0–0
A Monza1–4
H AS Roma3–3
H Bodo/Glimt4–3
A Venezia1–0
Head to head
0
Juventus
0
Draw
0
Napoli
These sides haven't met recently.
Serie A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Lazio10+1628
2Inter10+1325
3AS Roma10+1824
4Como10+1023
5AC Milan10+921
6Frosinone10+1020
7Juventus10+317
8Napoli10+414
9Bologna10+114
10Torino10-213
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Juventus 36%, the draw 27%, Napoli 37%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.72 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.26 for Juventus, 1.27 for Napoli), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Juventus sit 7th on 17 points; Napoli are 8th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.