Over 1.5 goals@1.78
Over 1.5
56%
ITASerie B · Matchday 7Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Stadio Romeo Menti
Juve Stabia
16th · 9 pts3–0FULL TIME
Sudtirol
10th · 14 pts28% Juve
32% Draw
41% Sudtirol
OUR PICK
Sudtirol to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.46
Expected goals
0.82 – 1.06
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.61X3.1522.46
Goals 2.5Over3.25Under1.41
Both scoreGG2.55NG1.58
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.41
Under 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.58
NG
63%
Double chance@1.38
X2
72%
Season stats
Juve StabiaSudtirol1.1Goals per game1.1
1.1Conceded per game1.0
0.90Points per game1.40
30%Win rate30%
0Goal difference1
8Form, last 5 (pts)3
Juve Stabia form
DLWWDA Empoli2–2
H Hellas Verona0–1
A Cremonese0–1
H Sudtirol3–0
A Virtus Entella1–1
Sudtirol form
DLDLDH Cesena1–1
A Padova2–0
H Sampdoria1–1
A Juve Stabia3–0
H Ascoli0–0
Head to head
3
Juve
1
Draw
1
Sudtirol
Oct 2026Juve Stabia – Sudtirol3–0
May 2026Sudtirol – Juve Stabia1–1
Dec 2025Juve Stabia – Sudtirol1–0
Apr 2025Sudtirol – Juve Stabia2–0
Dec 2024Juve Stabia – Sudtirol2–1
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Palermo10+1226
2Modena10+820
3Ascoli10+1019
4Mantova10+418
5Avellino10+515
6Benevento10+415
7Hellas Verona10+615
8Pisa10+315
9Padova10-114
10Sudtirol10+114
Match preview
Our model makes Sudtirol slight favourites, giving them a 41% chance of winning against 32% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.46 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (0.82 for Juve Stabia, 1.06 for Sudtirol), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Juve Stabia sit 16th on 9 points; Sudtirol are 10th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.