Over 1.5 goals@1.35
Over 1.5
74%
NOR2. Division - Group 2 · Matchday 23Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Nordlandshallen
Junkeren
9th · 34 pts1–3FULL TIME
Grorud
4th · 49 pts26% Junkeren
25% Draw
48% Grorud
OUR PICK
Grorud to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.07
Expected goals
1.08 – 1.56
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.80X3.9622.07
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.92NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.97
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.92
GG
52%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
JunkerenGrorud1.5Goals per game1.8
1.8Conceded per game1.0
1.31Points per game1.88
38%Win rate58%
-8Goal difference21
6Form, last 5 (pts)9
Junkeren form
WLLLWA Tromsdalen Uil2–3
H Levanger3–4
A Hønefoss2–1
H Grorud1–3
A Trygg/Lade1–2
Grorud form
WLLLWH Ull/Kisa3–0
H Brann0–2
A Stjørdals-Blink2–0
H Follo1–3
A Junkeren1–3
Head to head
0
Junkeren
0
Draw
4
Grorud
Oct 2026Junkeren – Grorud1–3
Jun 2026Grorud – Junkeren3–0
Sept 2024Grorud – Junkeren5–0
Apr 2024Junkeren – Grorud2–5
2. Division - Group 2 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Eidsvold26+3660
2Kjelsås26+2859
3Levanger26+3255
4Grorud26+2149
5Hønefoss26+2049
6Lørenskog26040
7Stjørdals-Blink26+139
8Tromsdalen Uil26+438
9Junkeren26-834
10Rana26-833
Match preview
Our model makes Grorud slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.07 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.08 for Junkeren, 1.56 for Grorud), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Junkeren sit 9th on 34 points; Grorud are 4th on 49.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.