Over 1.5 goals@1.26
Over 1.5
79%
COLPrimera A · Clausura - 14Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez
Junior
2nd · 35 pts2–2FULL TIME
Internacional de Bogota
8th · 28 pts53% Junior
23% Draw
24% Internacional
OUR PICK
Junior to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.89
Expected goals
1.81 – 1.15
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.89X4.3324.14
Goals 2.5Over1.76Under2.19
Both scoreGG1.75NG2.19
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.76
Over 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.75
GG
57%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
JuniorInternacional de Bogota1.6Goals per game1.4
1.3Conceded per game1.4
1.84Points per game1.47
58%Win rate37%
7Goal difference0
6Form, last 5 (pts)8
Junior form
LDWDDA Llaneros3–2
A Chico1–1
H Águilas Doradas1–0
A Deportivo Cali0–0
H Deportivo Pereira1–1
Internacional de Bogota form
WLWWDH Independiente Medellin3–1
A Alianza Valledupar1–0
H Fortaleza FC2–1
H Llaneros4–1
A Junior2–2
Head to head
2
Junior
2
Draw
1
Internacional
Oct 2026Junior – Internacional de Bogota2–2
Mar 2026Internacional de Bogota – Junior0–1
Sept 2025Junior – Internacional de Bogota1–1
Apr 2025Internacional de Bogota – Junior0–1
Oct 2024Internacional de Bogota – Junior1–0
Primera A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19+2040
2Junior19+735
3Deportivo Pasto19+434
4America de Cali19+1033
5Once Caldas19+933
6Deportes Tolima19+1031
7Santa Fe19+729
8Internacional de Bogota19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826
Match preview
Our model makes Junior slight favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.89 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.81 for Junior, 1.15 for Internacional de Bogota), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Junior sit 2nd on 35 points; Internacional de Bogota are 8th on 28.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.