Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
COLPrimera A · Clausura - 16Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez
Junior
2nd · 35 pts1–0FULL TIME
Águilas Doradas
12th · 26 pts56% Junior
22% Draw
21% Águilas
OUR PICK
Junior to win
Model probability 56% · fair odds
1.78
Expected goals
1.87 – 1.06
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.78X4.4524.71
Goals 2.5Over1.78Under2.14
Both scoreGG1.81NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.78
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.81
GG
55%
Double chance@1.27
1X
79%
Season stats
JuniorÁguilas Doradas1.6Goals per game1.1
1.3Conceded per game1.3
1.84Points per game1.37
58%Win rate37%
7Goal difference-5
6Form, last 5 (pts)8
Junior form
LDWDDA Llaneros3–2
A Chico1–1
H Águilas Doradas1–0
A Deportivo Cali0–0
H Deportivo Pereira1–1
Águilas Doradas form
WLWDDA Cucuta0–2
A Junior1–0
H Deportes Tolima2–1
A Bucaramanga1–1
A Alianza Valledupar2–2
Head to head
3
Junior
1
Draw
1
Águilas
Oct 2026Junior – Águilas Doradas1–0
Apr 2026Águilas Doradas – Junior0–3
Jul 2025Águilas Doradas – Junior2–3
Feb 2025Junior – Águilas Doradas2–2
Sept 2024Junior – Águilas Doradas3–4
Primera A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19+2040
2Junior19+735
3Deportivo Pasto19+434
4America de Cali19+1033
5Once Caldas19+933
6Deportes Tolima19+1031
7Santa Fe19+729
8Internacional de Bogota19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826
Match preview
Our model makes Junior clear favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.78 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.87 for Junior, 1.06 for Águilas Doradas), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Junior sit 2nd on 35 points; Águilas Doradas are 12th on 26.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.