Over 1.5 goals@1.16
Over 1.5
86%
COLPrimera A · Clausura - 18Sunday, 8 November 2026
Junior
2nd · 35 pts00:10KICK-OFF WAT
Cucuta
19th · 16 pts67% Junior
18% Draw
15% Cucuta
OUR PICK
Junior to win
Model probability 67% · fair odds
1.48
Expected goals
2.42 – 1.05
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.48X5.6326.77
Goals 2.5Over1.49Under2.86
Both scoreGG1.69NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.49
Over 2.5
67%
Both teams to score@1.69
GG
59%
Double chance@1.17
1X
85%
Season stats
JuniorCucuta1.6Goals per game1.2
1.3Conceded per game1.8
1.84Points per game0.84
58%Win rate16%
7Goal difference-13
6Form, last 5 (pts)9
Junior form
LDWDDA Llaneros3–2
A Chico1–1
H Águilas Doradas1–0
A Deportivo Cali0–0
H Deportivo Pereira1–1
Cucuta form
LLWWWH Águilas Doradas0–2
A America de Cali3–1
H Atletico Nacional1–0
A Chico0–1
H Deportivo Pereira4–0
Head to head
3
Junior
1
Draw
1
Cucuta
Apr 2026Cucuta – Junior1–1
Aug 2023Junior – Cucuta2–1
Jul 2023Cucuta – Junior4–3
Nov 2020Cucuta – Junior1–4
Nov 2019Junior – Cucuta1–0
Primera A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19+2040
2Junior19+735
3Deportivo Pasto19+434
4America de Cali19+1033
5Once Caldas19+933
6Deportes Tolima19+1031
7Santa Fe19+729
8Internacional de Bogota19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826
Match preview
Our model makes Junior clear favourites, giving them a 67% chance of winning against 18% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.48 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (2.42 for Junior, 1.05 for Cucuta), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Junior sit 2nd on 35 points; Cucuta are 19th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.