Over 1.5 goals@1.77
Over 1.5
57%
JPNJ2 League · Matchday 16Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Yamaha Stadium
Jubilo Iwata
11th · 19 pts06:00KICK-OFF WAT
Shonan Bellmare
7th · 22 pts38% Jubilo
32% Draw
30% Shonan
OUR PICK
Jubilo Iwata to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.60
Expected goals
1.03 – 0.87
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.60X3.1623.35
Goals 2.5Over3.14Under1.42
Both scoreGG2.55NG1.60
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.42
Under 2.5
70%
Both teams to score@1.60
NG
63%
Double chance@1.43
1X
70%
Season stats
Jubilo IwataShonan Bellmare1.1Goals per game1.1
1.1Conceded per game0.9
1.36Points per game1.57
36%Win rate36%
1Goal difference2
9Form, last 5 (pts)6
Jubilo Iwata form
WDDDLH Sagan Tosu2–0
A Iwaki1–1
H Oita Trinita0–0
A Tegevajaro Miyazaki1–1
H Kawasaki Frontale0–4
Shonan Bellmare form
LWDDDA Consadole Sapporo1–0
H Tochigi City2–1
H Iwaki1–1
A Kataller Toyama1–1
H Albirex Niigata1–1
Head to head
3
Jubilo
0
Draw
2
Shonan
Jun 2025Jubilo Iwata – Shonan Bellmare1–0
Jun 2025Shonan Bellmare – Jubilo Iwata2–0
Jul 2024Shonan Bellmare – Jubilo Iwata5–0
May 2024Jubilo Iwata – Shonan Bellmare3–2
Jul 2022Jubilo Iwata – Shonan Bellmare1–0
J2 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai14+1027
2Albirex Niigata14-326
3Kataller Toyama14+1225
4Yokohama FC14+1025
5Omiya Ardija14+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki14+523
7Shonan Bellmare14+222
8Iwaki14+320
9Consadole Sapporo14-220
10Oita Trinita14+519
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Jubilo Iwata 38%, the draw 32%, Shonan Bellmare 30%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.60 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (1.03 for Jubilo Iwata, 0.87 for Shonan Bellmare), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Jubilo Iwata sit 11th on 19 points; Shonan Bellmare are 7th on 22.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.