Over 1.5 goals@1.61
Over 1.5
62%
JPNJ2 League · Matchday 14Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Yamaha Stadium
Jubilo Iwata
11th · 19 pts2–0FULL TIME
Sagan Tosu
13th · 17 pts41% Jubilo
30% Draw
29% Sagan
OUR PICK
Jubilo Iwata to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.42
Expected goals
1.17 – 0.93
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.42X3.3723.45
Goals 2.5Over2.70Under1.54
Both scoreGG2.25NG1.72
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.54
Under 2.5
65%
Both teams to score@1.72
NG
58%
Double chance@1.41
1X
71%
Season stats
Jubilo IwataSagan Tosu1.1Goals per game1.0
1.1Conceded per game1.2
1.36Points per game1.21
36%Win rate36%
1Goal difference-3
9Form, last 5 (pts)9
Jubilo Iwata form
No recent matches.
Sagan Tosu form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Jubilo
0
Draw
0
Sagan
These sides haven't met recently.
J2 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai14+1027
2Albirex Niigata14-326
3Kataller Toyama14+1225
4Yokohama FC14+1025
5Omiya Ardija14+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki14+523
7Shonan Bellmare14+222
8Iwaki14+320
9Consadole Sapporo14-220
10Oita Trinita14+519
Match preview
Our model makes Jubilo Iwata slight favourites, giving them a 41% chance of winning against 30% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.42 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (1.17 for Jubilo Iwata, 0.93 for Sagan Tosu), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Jubilo Iwata sit 11th on 19 points; Sagan Tosu are 13th on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.