Over 1.5 goals@1.57
Over 1.5
64%
JPNJ2 League · Matchday 12Wednesday, 21 October 2026 · Yamaha Stadium
Jubilo Iwata
11th · 19 pts0–0FULL TIME
Oita Trinita
10th · 19 pts36% Jubilo
29% Draw
35% Oita
OUR PICK
Jubilo Iwata to win
Model probability 36% · fair odds
2.77
Expected goals
1.10 – 1.07
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.77X3.4022.89
Goals 2.5Over2.55Under1.59
Both scoreGG2.14NG1.78
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.59
Under 2.5
63%
Both teams to score@1.78
NG
56%
Double chance@1.42
12
71%
Season stats
Jubilo IwataOita Trinita1.1Goals per game1.2
1.1Conceded per game0.9
1.36Points per game1.36
36%Win rate29%
1Goal difference5
9Form, last 5 (pts)8
Jubilo Iwata form
WDDDLH Sagan Tosu2–0
A Iwaki1–1
H Oita Trinita0–0
A Tegevajaro Miyazaki1–1
H Kawasaki Frontale0–4
Oita Trinita form
LDDWWA Tegevajaro Miyazaki2–0
H Ventforet Kofu1–1
A Jubilo Iwata0–0
H Albirex Niigata5–1
A Yokohama FC1–2
Head to head
0
Jubilo
3
Draw
2
Oita
Oct 2026Jubilo Iwata – Oita Trinita0–0
Aug 2025Oita Trinita – Jubilo Iwata0–0
Apr 2025Jubilo Iwata – Oita Trinita0–3
Jul 2023Jubilo Iwata – Oita Trinita1–1
Apr 2023Oita Trinita – Jubilo Iwata2–1
J2 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai14+1027
2Albirex Niigata14-326
3Kataller Toyama14+1225
4Yokohama FC14+1025
5Omiya Ardija14+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki14+523
7Shonan Bellmare14+222
8Iwaki14+320
9Consadole Sapporo14-220
10Oita Trinita14+519
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Jubilo Iwata 36%, the draw 29%, Oita Trinita 35%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.77 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (1.10 for Jubilo Iwata, 1.07 for Oita Trinita), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Jubilo Iwata sit 11th on 19 points; Oita Trinita are 10th on 19.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.