Over 1.5 goals@1.41
Over 1.5
71%
JPNJ2 League · Matchday 10Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Yamaha Stadium
Jubilo Iwata
11th · 19 pts1–0FULL TIME
Consadole Sapporo
9th · 20 pts45% Jubilo
27% Draw
29% Consadole
OUR PICK
Jubilo Iwata to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.23
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.07
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.23X3.7523.50
Goals 2.5Over2.10Under1.82
Both scoreGG1.89NG1.99
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.82
Under 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.99
NG
50%
Double chance@1.36
12
73%
Season stats
Jubilo IwataConsadole Sapporo1.1Goals per game1.2
1.1Conceded per game1.4
1.36Points per game1.43
36%Win rate43%
1Goal difference-2
9Form, last 5 (pts)12
Jubilo Iwata form
WDDDLH Sagan Tosu2–0
A Iwaki1–1
H Oita Trinita0–0
A Tegevajaro Miyazaki1–1
H Kawasaki Frontale0–4
Consadole Sapporo form
WWWWLH Shonan Bellmare1–0
A Kataller Toyama0–1
A Montedio Yamagata0–2
H Blaublitz Akita1–0
A Jubilo Iwata1–0
Head to head
0
Jubilo
0
Draw
0
Consadole
These sides haven't met recently.
J2 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai14+1027
2Albirex Niigata14-326
3Kataller Toyama14+1225
4Yokohama FC14+1025
5Omiya Ardija14+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki14+523
7Shonan Bellmare14+222
8Iwaki14+320
9Consadole Sapporo14-220
10Oita Trinita14+519
Match preview
Our model makes Jubilo Iwata slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.23 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.41 for Jubilo Iwata, 1.07 for Consadole Sapporo), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Jubilo Iwata sit 11th on 19 points; Consadole Sapporo are 9th on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.