Over 1.5 goals@2.20
Over 1.5
46%
ALGLigue 1 · Matchday 2Tuesday, 6 October 2026 · Hocine Ait Ahmed Stadium
JS Kabylie
1st · 16 pts19:00KICK-OFF WAT
MC Alger
6th · 13 pts37% JS
36% Draw
27% MC
OUR PICK
JS Kabylie to win
Model probability 37% · fair odds
2.73
Expected goals
0.85 – 0.69
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.73X2.7823.65
Goals 2.5Over4.72Under1.25
Both scoreGG3.25NG1.40
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.25
Under 2.5
80%
Both teams to score@1.40
NG
71%
Double chance@1.38
1X
73%
Season stats
JS KabylieMC Alger1.6Goals per game1.4
0.4Conceded per game0.2
2.29Points per game2.60
71%Win rate80%
8Goal difference6
13Form, last 5 (pts)13
JS Kabylie form
WWWDH JS El Biar1–0
A Khenchela0–3
H US Biskra4–1
A ES Setif1–1
MC Alger form
WWWLH Khenchela2–0
A US Biskra0–1
H Enugu Rangers3–0
A Enugu Rangers2–0
Head to head
0
JS
3
Draw
2
MC
Feb 2026MC Alger – JS Kabylie0–0
Jan 2026JS Kabylie – MC Alger1–1
Feb 2025MC Alger – JS Kabylie3–2
Oct 2024JS Kabylie – MC Alger1–2
May 2024JS Kabylie – MC Alger1–1
Ligue 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1JS Kabylie7+816
2MC Oran7+515
3USM Alger7+514
4CR Belouizdad6+414
5MB Rouisset8+314
6MC Alger5+613
7Olympique Akbou7+311
8ES Setif7+28
9JS El Biar808
10Ben Aknoun708
Match preview
Our model makes JS Kabylie slight favourites, giving them a 37% chance of winning against 36% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.73 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.5 goals in total (0.85 for JS Kabylie, 0.69 for MC Alger), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
JS Kabylie sit 1st on 16 points; MC Alger are 6th on 13.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.