Over 1.5 goals@1.09
Over 1.5
92%
NEDEerste Divisie · Matchday 13Monday, 2 November 2026 · Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch
Jong Utrecht
20th · 7 pts20:00KICK-OFF WAT
Dordrecht
18th · 11 pts54% Jong
19% Draw
27% Dordrecht
OUR PICK
Jong Utrecht to win
Model probability 54% · fair odds
1.86
Expected goals
2.44 – 1.72
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.86X5.1923.70
Goals 2.5Over1.28Under4.29
Both scoreGG1.33NG3.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.28
Over 2.5
78%
Both teams to score@1.33
GG
75%
Double chance@1.24
12
81%
Season stats
Jong UtrechtDordrecht1.6Goals per game1.3
2.6Conceded per game2.6
0.58Points per game0.92
17%Win rate25%
-12Goal difference-15
3Form, last 5 (pts)7
Jong Utrecht form
No recent matches.
Dordrecht form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Jong
0
Draw
0
Dordrecht
These sides haven't met recently.
Eerste Divisie table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Heracles12+2329
2VVV Venlo13+1528
3Emmen12+725
4Almere City FC13+1425
5Roda13+525
6NAC Breda12+321
7FC Volendam13+819
8Vitesse12-117
9Jong AZ13+417
10MVV13-1217
Match preview
Our model makes Jong Utrecht slight favourites, giving them a 54% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.86 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.2 goals in total (2.44 for Jong Utrecht, 1.72 for Dordrecht), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Jong Utrecht sit 20th on 7 points; Dordrecht are 18th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.