Over 1.5 goals@1.22
Over 1.5
82%
NEDEerste Divisie · Matchday 13Monday, 2 November 2026 · De Herdgang
Jong PSV U21
11th · 16 pts20:00KICK-OFF WAT
NAC Breda
6th · 21 pts39% Jong
24% Draw
37% NAC
OUR PICK
Jong PSV U21 to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.53
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.54
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.53X4.2222.71
Goals 2.5Over1.65Under2.42
Both scoreGG1.59NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.65
Over 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.59
GG
63%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
Jong PSV U21NAC Breda1.4Goals per game1.9
1.6Conceded per game1.7
1.33Points per game1.75
33%Win rate50%
-2Goal difference3
5Form, last 5 (pts)11
Jong PSV U21 form
No recent matches.
NAC Breda form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Jong
0
Draw
0
NAC
These sides haven't met recently.
Eerste Divisie table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Heracles12+2329
2VVV Venlo13+1528
3Emmen12+725
4Almere City FC13+1425
5Roda13+525
6NAC Breda12+321
7FC Volendam13+819
8Vitesse12-117
9Jong AZ13+417
10MVV13-1217
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Jong PSV U21 39%, the draw 24%, NAC Breda 37%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.53 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.60 for Jong PSV U21, 1.54 for NAC Breda), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Jong PSV U21 sit 11th on 16 points; NAC Breda are 6th on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.