Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
SOUK League 1 · Relegation Group - 35Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Jeju World Cup Stadium
Jeju United FC
7th · 46 pts06:00KICK-OFF WAT
Gwangju FC
12th · 21 pts69% Jeju
19% Draw
12% Gwangju
OUR PICK
Jeju United FC to win
Model probability 69% · fair odds
1.46
Expected goals
2.13 – 0.77
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.46X5.2628.13
Goals 2.5Over1.81Under2.10
Both scoreGG2.01NG1.90
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.81
Over 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.90
NG
53%
Double chance@1.14
1X
88%
Season stats
Jeju United FCGwangju FC1.2Goals per game0.9
1.1Conceded per game2.1
1.39Points per game0.64
36%Win rate9%
2Goal difference-39
4Form, last 5 (pts)8
Jeju United FC form
DLLLWA Pohang Steelers1–1
A Incheon United3–1
A Jeonbuk Motors3–2
A FC Seoul2–1
A Gangwon FC0–1
Gwangju FC form
DWLWDH Gimcheon Sangmu FC1–1
A Bucheon FC 19950–3
A Daejeon Citizen3–2
H Ulsan Hyundai FC4–3
A Jeonbuk Motors2–2
Head to head
2
Jeju
1
Draw
2
Gwangju
Sept 2026Gwangju FC – Jeju United FC0–1
Jul 2026Gwangju FC – Jeju United FC1–2
Mar 2026Jeju United FC – Gwangju FC0–0
Nov 2025Gwangju FC – Jeju United FC2–0
Aug 2025Jeju United FC – Gwangju FC0–1
K League 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Seoul33+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC33+551
3Daejeon Citizen33+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors33+1048
5Gangwon FC33+1048
6Incheon United33+846
7Jeju United FC33+246
8FC Anyang33-843
9Pohang Steelers33-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC33-834
Match preview
Our model makes Jeju United FC clear favourites, giving them a 69% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.46 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (2.13 for Jeju United FC, 0.77 for Gwangju FC), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Jeju United FC sit 7th on 46 points; Gwangju FC are 12th on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.