Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
81%
JPNJ1 League · Matchday 10Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Fukuda Denshi Arena
JEF United Chiba
18th · 10 pts0–0FULL TIME
Yokohama F. Marinos
8th · 21 pts26% JEF
23% Draw
51% Yokohama
OUR PICK
Yokohama F. Marinos to win
Model probability 51% · fair odds
1.95
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.81
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.88X4.3321.95
Goals 2.5Over1.71Under2.25
Both scoreGG1.70NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.71
Over 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.70
GG
59%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
JEF United ChibaYokohama F. Marinos1.2Goals per game1.5
1.8Conceded per game1.1
0.77Points per game1.62
15%Win rate38%
-9Goal difference6
6Form, last 5 (pts)7
JEF United Chiba form
WDLDDH Avispa Fukuoka3–0
A Cerezo Osaka2–2
A Urawa3–2
H Yokohama F. Marinos0–0
H V-varen Nagasaki1–1
Yokohama F. Marinos form
WWDDDH Kawasaki Frontale4–2
H Sanfrecce Hiroshima4–3
A Nagoya Grampus1–1
H Tokyo Verdy2–2
A JEF United Chiba0–0
Head to head
0
JEF
1
Draw
2
Yokohama
Oct 2026JEF United Chiba – Yokohama F. Marinos0–0
Apr 2026JEF United Chiba – Yokohama F. Marinos2–3
Mar 2026Yokohama F. Marinos – JEF United Chiba2–0
J1 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Tokyo13+2330
2Sanfrecce Hiroshima13+2229
3Machida Zelvia13+2028
4Kashiwa Reysol13+1028
5Vissel Kobe13+926
6Kashima13+723
7Kawasaki Frontale13+522
8Yokohama F. Marinos13+621
9Urawa13-621
10Fagiano Okayama13-616
Match preview
Our model makes Yokohama F. Marinos slight favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.95 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.22 for JEF United Chiba, 1.81 for Yokohama F. Marinos), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
JEF United Chiba sit 18th on 10 points; Yokohama F. Marinos are 8th on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.