Over 1.5 goals@1.35
Over 1.5
74%
COLPrimera A · Clausura - 18Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Estadio Jaraguay
Jaguares
16th · 18 pts22:05KICK-OFF WAT
Bucaramanga
13th · 23 pts25% Jaguares
25% Draw
50% Bucaramanga
OUR PICK
Bucaramanga to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
2.02
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.58
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.96X3.9822.02
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.96
Both scoreGG1.94NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.96
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.94
GG
52%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
JaguaresBucaramanga1.1Goals per game1.4
1.7Conceded per game1.1
0.95Points per game1.21
26%Win rate26%
-13Goal difference6
6Form, last 5 (pts)5
Jaguares form
LWLLWA Deportivo Pereira1–0
H Llaneros1–0
A Santa Fe2–1
A Millonarios4–1
H Deportes Tolima3–2
Bucaramanga form
LWLLDH Atletico Nacional0–1
H Deportivo Pasto2–1
A Santa Fe2–1
A Chico1–0
H America de Cali1–1
Head to head
0
Jaguares
3
Draw
2
Bucaramanga
Apr 2026Bucaramanga – Jaguares2–2
Jul 2024Bucaramanga – Jaguares0–0
Feb 2024Jaguares – Bucaramanga0–1
Aug 2023Bucaramanga – Jaguares3–0
Feb 2023Jaguares – Bucaramanga1–1
Primera A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19+2040
2Junior19+735
3Deportivo Pasto19+434
4America de Cali19+1033
5Once Caldas19+933
6Deportes Tolima19+1031
7Santa Fe19+729
8Internacional de Bogota19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826
Match preview
Our model makes Bucaramanga slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.02 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.05 for Jaguares, 1.58 for Bucaramanga), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Jaguares sit 16th on 18 points; Bucaramanga are 13th on 23.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.