Over 1.5 goals@1.20
Over 1.5
83%
POLEkstraklasa · Matchday 14Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Chorten Arena
Jagiellonia
9th · 18 pts14:45KICK-OFF WAT
GKS Katowice
6th · 21 pts37% Jagiellonia
23% Draw
39% GKS
OUR PICK
GKS Katowice to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.54
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.63
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.69X4.2822.54
Goals 2.5Over1.61Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.57NG2.62
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.61
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.57
GG
64%
Double chance@1.31
12
77%
Season stats
JagielloniaGKS Katowice1.4Goals per game1.9
1.5Conceded per game1.5
1.50Points per game1.62
50%Win rate54%
-1Goal difference6
6Form, last 5 (pts)9
Jagiellonia form
WWWLLA Wieczysta Kraków1–3
A Lechia Gdansk0–6
H Wisla Plock1–0
H Anderlecht0–3
A Zaglebie Lubin1–0
GKS Katowice form
WLLLWH Widzew Łódź3–2
A Górnik Łęczna1–0
A Korona Kielce1–0
H Pogon Szczecin0–1
H Wieczysta Kraków2–1
Head to head
2
Jagiellonia
1
Draw
2
GKS
May 2026GKS Katowice – Jagiellonia2–2
Mar 2026Jagiellonia – GKS Katowice2–1
Dec 2025GKS Katowice – Jagiellonia3–1
Mar 2025Jagiellonia – GKS Katowice1–0
Aug 2024GKS Katowice – Jagiellonia3–1
Ekstraklasa table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Lech Poznan12+2131
2Gornik Zabrze13+1028
3Legia Warszawa13+1224
4Pogon Szczecin12+824
5Zaglebie Lubin13+122
6GKS Katowice13+621
7Piast Gliwice13+421
8Wisla Krakow13+221
9Jagiellonia12-118
10Korona Kielce13-518
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Jagiellonia 37%, the draw 23%, GKS Katowice 39%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.54 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.58 for Jagiellonia, 1.63 for GKS Katowice), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Jagiellonia sit 9th on 18 points; GKS Katowice are 6th on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.