Over 1.5 goals@1.26
Over 1.5
79%
WORUEFA Europa League · League Stage - 3Thursday, 22 October 2026 · Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku
Jagiellonia
27th · 3 pts0–3FULL TIME
Anderlecht
22nd · 3 pts56% Jagiellonia
22% Draw
21% Anderlecht
OUR PICK
Jagiellonia to win
Model probability 56% · fair odds
1.77
Expected goals
1.88 – 1.06
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.77X4.4624.74
Goals 2.5Over1.78Under2.14
Both scoreGG1.81NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.78
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.81
GG
55%
Double chance@1.27
1X
79%
Season stats
JagielloniaAnderlecht1.3Goals per game1.3
2.0Conceded per game1.0
1.00Points per game1.00
33%Win rate33%
-2Goal difference1
3Form, last 5 (pts)3
Jagiellonia form
WWWLLA Wieczysta Kraków1–3
A Lechia Gdansk0–6
H Wisla Plock1–0
H Anderlecht0–3
A Zaglebie Lubin1–0
Anderlecht form
WLWLLH KVC Westerlo4–1
A Gent4–0
A Jagiellonia0–3
A Beerschot VA2–1
A Dinamo Zagreb1–0
Head to head
0
Jagiellonia
0
Draw
1
Anderlecht
Oct 2026Jagiellonia – Anderlecht0–3
UEFA Europa League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Benfica3+89
2Bayer Leverkusen3+89
3Bournemouth3+79
4Ferencvarosi TC3+69
5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39
6Union St. Gilloise3+77
7Juventus3+67
8Beşiktaş3+47
9Sunderland3+27
10AZ Alkmaar3+46
Match preview
Our model makes Jagiellonia clear favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.77 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.88 for Jagiellonia, 1.06 for Anderlecht), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Jagiellonia sit 27th on 3 points; Anderlecht are 22nd on 3.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.