Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
76%
JPNJ2 League · Matchday 13Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Iwaki Greenfield
Iwaki
8th · 20 pts1–1FULL TIME
Jubilo Iwata
11th · 19 pts47% Iwaki
25% Draw
28% Jubilo
OUR PICK
Iwaki to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.15
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.17
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.15X4.0023.52
Goals 2.5Over1.94Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.83NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.94
Over 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.83
GG
55%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
IwakiJubilo Iwata1.6Goals per game1.1
1.4Conceded per game1.1
1.43Points per game1.36
43%Win rate36%
3Goal difference1
11Form, last 5 (pts)9
Iwaki form
WDDWWA Tochigi City1–3
H Jubilo Iwata1–1
A Shonan Bellmare1–1
H Ventforet Kofu5–0
H Blaublitz Akita1–0
Jubilo Iwata form
WDDDLH Sagan Tosu2–0
A Iwaki1–1
H Oita Trinita0–0
A Tegevajaro Miyazaki1–1
H Kawasaki Frontale0–4
Head to head
2
Iwaki
2
Draw
1
Jubilo
Oct 2026Iwaki – Jubilo Iwata1–1
May 2026Jubilo Iwata – Iwaki1–1
Mar 2026Iwaki – Jubilo Iwata1–0
Aug 2025Iwaki – Jubilo Iwata3–1
May 2025Jubilo Iwata – Iwaki2–0
J2 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai14+1027
2Albirex Niigata14-326
3Kataller Toyama14+1225
4Yokohama FC14+1025
5Omiya Ardija14+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki14+523
7Shonan Bellmare14+222
8Iwaki14+320
9Consadole Sapporo14-220
10Oita Trinita14+519
Match preview
Our model makes Iwaki slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.15 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.57 for Iwaki, 1.17 for Jubilo Iwata), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Iwaki sit 8th on 20 points; Jubilo Iwata are 11th on 19.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.