Over 1.5 goals@1.30
Over 1.5
77%
JPNJ2 League · Matchday 10Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Iwaki Greenfield
Iwaki
8th · 20 pts1–0FULL TIME
Blaublitz Akita
12th · 17 pts45% Iwaki
25% Draw
30% Blaublitz
OUR PICK
Iwaki to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.20
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.22
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.20X4.0223.37
Goals 2.5Over1.89Under2.01
Both scoreGG1.79NG2.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.89
Over 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.79
GG
56%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
IwakiBlaublitz Akita1.6Goals per game1.1
1.4Conceded per game1.1
1.43Points per game1.21
43%Win rate29%
3Goal difference0
11Form, last 5 (pts)4
Iwaki form
WDDWWA Tochigi City1–3
H Jubilo Iwata1–1
A Shonan Bellmare1–1
H Ventforet Kofu5–0
H Blaublitz Akita1–0
Blaublitz Akita form
DWLLLH Fujieda MYFC1–1
H Imabari1–0
A Tegevajaro Miyazaki2–1
A Consadole Sapporo1–0
A Iwaki1–0
Head to head
2
Iwaki
1
Draw
2
Blaublitz
Oct 2026Iwaki – Blaublitz Akita1–0
Nov 2025Blaublitz Akita – Iwaki2–0
Jun 2025Iwaki – Blaublitz Akita1–2
May 2025Iwaki – Blaublitz Akita1–1
Aug 2024Iwaki – Blaublitz Akita2–0
J2 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai14+1027
2Albirex Niigata14-326
3Kataller Toyama14+1225
4Yokohama FC14+1025
5Omiya Ardija14+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki14+523
7Shonan Bellmare14+222
8Iwaki14+320
9Consadole Sapporo14-220
10Oita Trinita14+519
Match preview
Our model makes Iwaki slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.20 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.57 for Iwaki, 1.22 for Blaublitz Akita), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Iwaki sit 8th on 20 points; Blaublitz Akita are 12th on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.