Over 1.5 goals@1.47
Over 1.5
68%
MARBotola Pro · Matchday 2Friday, 2 October 2026 · Stade Ibn Batouta
Ittihad Tanger
4th · 10 pts1–1FULL TIME
Moghreb Tetouan
15th · 3 pts67% Ittihad
22% Draw
11% Moghreb
OUR PICK
Ittihad Tanger to win
Model probability 67% · fair odds
1.49
Expected goals
1.78 – 0.56
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.49X4.5629.04
Goals 2.5Over2.30Under1.71
Both scoreGG2.62NG1.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.71
Under 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.55
NG
64%
Double chance@1.12
1X
89%
Season stats
Ittihad TangerMoghreb Tetouan1.3Goals per game0.3
1.2Conceded per game1.5
1.67Points per game0.50
50%Win rate0%
1Goal difference-7
7Form, last 5 (pts)2
Ittihad Tanger form
DLWLDH CR Khemis Zemamra0–0
A FAR Rabat2–0
H Maghreb Fès2–1
A Kawkab Marrakech2–1
H Moghreb Tetouan1–1
Moghreb Tetouan form
LLLDDA Wydad AC1–0
H Widad Témara0–3
A Difaa EL Jadida4–1
H FUS Rabat0–0
A Ittihad Tanger1–1
Head to head
0
Ittihad
3
Draw
2
Moghreb
Oct 2026Ittihad Tanger – Moghreb Tetouan1–1
Apr 2025Moghreb Tetouan – Ittihad Tanger2–1
Nov 2024Ittihad Tanger – Moghreb Tetouan1–2
Apr 2024Moghreb Tetouan – Ittihad Tanger1–1
Nov 2023Ittihad Tanger – Moghreb Tetouan1–1
Botola Pro table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Kawkab Marrakech6+313
2CODM Meknès6+511
3Wydad AC6+211
4Ittihad Tanger6+110
5Widad Témara6+39
6FAR Rabat4+38
7Hassania Agadir6+28
8UTS Rabat608
9Difaa EL Jadida608
10Maghreb Fès608
Match preview
Our model makes Ittihad Tanger clear favourites, giving them a 67% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.49 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.78 for Ittihad Tanger, 0.56 for Moghreb Tetouan), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Ittihad Tanger sit 4th on 10 points; Moghreb Tetouan are 15th on 3.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.