Over 1.5 goals@1.81
Over 1.5
55%
MARBotola Pro · Matchday 4Wednesday, 14 October 2026 · Stade Ibn Batouta
Ittihad Tanger
4th · 10 pts2–1FULL TIME
Maghreb Fès
10th · 8 pts36% Ittihad
32% Draw
31% Maghreb
OUR PICK
Ittihad Tanger to win
Model probability 36% · fair odds
2.76
Expected goals
0.97 – 0.88
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.76X3.1023.18
Goals 2.5Over3.37Under1.39
Both scoreGG2.62NG1.57
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.39
Under 2.5
72%
Both teams to score@1.57
NG
64%
Double chance@1.46
1X
69%
Season stats
Ittihad TangerMaghreb Fès1.3Goals per game0.8
1.2Conceded per game0.8
1.67Points per game1.33
50%Win rate33%
1Goal difference0
7Form, last 5 (pts)5
Ittihad Tanger form
WLWLDH CR Khemis Zemamra1–0
A FAR Rabat2–0
H Maghreb Fès2–1
A Kawkab Marrakech2–1
H Moghreb Tetouan1–1
Maghreb Fès form
LDWDLA Widad Témara1–0
H Renaissance Berkane0–0
A ASEC Mimosas1–2
H ASEC Mimosas1–1
A Ittihad Tanger2–1
Head to head
2
Ittihad
3
Draw
0
Maghreb
Oct 2026Ittihad Tanger – Maghreb Fès2–1
May 2026Maghreb Fès – Ittihad Tanger0–1
Oct 2025Ittihad Tanger – Maghreb Fès1–1
Mar 2025Maghreb Fès – Ittihad Tanger1–1
Nov 2024Ittihad Tanger – Maghreb Fès1–1
Botola Pro table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Kawkab Marrakech6+313
2CODM Meknès6+511
3Wydad AC6+211
4Ittihad Tanger6+110
5Widad Témara6+39
6FAR Rabat4+38
7Hassania Agadir6+28
8UTS Rabat608
9Difaa EL Jadida608
10Maghreb Fès608
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Ittihad Tanger 36%, the draw 32%, Maghreb Fès 31%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.76 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (0.97 for Ittihad Tanger, 0.88 for Maghreb Fès), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Ittihad Tanger sit 4th on 10 points; Maghreb Fès are 10th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.