Over 1.5 goals@1.88
Over 1.5
53%
GRESuper League 1 · Matchday 6Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Kaftanzoglio Stadio
Iraklis 1908
9th · 10 pts2–0FULL TIME
Levadiakos
11th · 6 pts46% Iraklis
32% Draw
22% Levadiakos
OUR PICK
Iraklis 1908 to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.17
Expected goals
1.11 – 0.67
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.17X3.1324.53
Goals 2.5Over3.63Under1.36
Both scoreGG2.86NG1.49
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.36
Under 2.5
74%
Both teams to score@1.49
NG
67%
Double chance@1.28
1X
78%
Season stats
Iraklis 1908Levadiakos1.1Goals per game0.3
1.3Conceded per game1.2
1.11Points per game0.67
22%Win rate11%
-2Goal difference-8
5Form, last 5 (pts)5
Iraklis 1908 form
DLLWDA Kalamata1–1
H Kifisia2–3
A PAOK2–1
H Levadiakos2–0
A Aris Thessalonikis0–0
Levadiakos form
WDDLLH Aris Thessalonikis3–0
A Asteras Tripolis0–0
H Volos NFC0–0
A Iraklis 19082–0
H Olympiakos Piraeus0–1
Head to head
1
Iraklis
0
Draw
2
Levadiakos
Oct 2026Iraklis 1908 – Levadiakos2–0
Feb 2024Levadiakos – Iraklis 19082–0
Nov 2023Iraklis 1908 – Levadiakos0–1
Super League 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Panathinaikos9+1624
2Olympiakos Piraeus9+1122
3PAOK9+618
4AEK Athens FC8+1617
5Aris Thessalonikis9-416
6OFI9+216
7Kifisia9-211
8Kalamata9-411
9Iraklis 19089-210
10Panetolikos9-99
Match preview
Our model makes Iraklis 1908 slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 32% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.17 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.8 goals in total (1.11 for Iraklis 1908, 0.67 for Levadiakos), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Iraklis 1908 sit 9th on 10 points; Levadiakos are 11th on 6.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.