Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
ENGPremier League · Matchday 10Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Portman Road
Ipswich
13th · 11 pts15:00KICK-OFF WAT
Bournemouth
7th · 12 pts38% Ipswich
22% Draw
39% Bournemouth
OUR PICK
Bournemouth to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.55
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.77
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.60X4.5022.55
Goals 2.5Over1.47Under2.95
Both scoreGG1.46NG3.04
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.47
Over 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.46
GG
69%
Double chance@1.29
12
78%
Season stats
IpswichBournemouth1.6Goals per game1.6
2.0Conceded per game1.4
1.22Points per game1.33
33%Win rate33%
-4Goal difference1
5Form, last 5 (pts)9
Ipswich form
DDLWLA Hull City2–2
H Nottingham Forest1–1
A Manchester City3–2
H Fulham2–1
A Everton1–0
Bournemouth form
WWWWWH Leeds2–0
H Aston Villa3–0
A Manchester United0–3
H AC Milan3–0
H Sunderland2–0
Head to head
1
Ipswich
3
Draw
1
Bournemouth
Apr 2025Bournemouth – Ipswich1–2
Dec 2024Ipswich – Bournemouth1–2
Apr 2015Ipswich – Bournemouth1–1
Nov 2014Bournemouth – Ipswich2–2
Apr 2014Ipswich – Bournemouth2–2
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Arsenal9+924
2Manchester City9+1021
3Brighton9+1719
4Chelsea9+416
5Liverpool9+215
6Brentford9+714
7Bournemouth9+112
8Tottenham9012
9Aston Villa9-312
10Hull City9+111
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Ipswich 38%, the draw 22%, Bournemouth 39%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.55 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (1.75 for Ipswich, 1.77 for Bournemouth), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Ipswich sit 13th on 11 points; Bournemouth are 7th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.