Over 1.5 goals@1.42
Over 1.5
70%
SCOChampionship · Matchday 14Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
Inverness CT
6th · 19 pts16:00KICK-OFF WAT
Livingston
5th · 20 pts33% Inverness
27% Draw
39% Livingston
OUR PICK
Livingston to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.53
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.29
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.01X3.6722.53
Goals 2.5Over2.14Under1.80
Both scoreGG1.89NG1.99
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.80
Under 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.99
NG
50%
Double chance@1.37
12
73%
Season stats
Inverness CTLivingston1.3Goals per game1.4
1.2Conceded per game0.8
1.46Points per game1.54
38%Win rate46%
1Goal difference7
9Form, last 5 (pts)7
Inverness CT form
LWWLWA Dunfermline5–1
A Raith Rovers0–2
H Arbroath2–0
A Queen's Park2–1
H Stenhousemuir2–0
Livingston form
WWDLLA Stenhousemuir0–3
H Arbroath1–0
A Dunfermline0–0
H Partick1–2
H Ayr Utd1–2
Head to head
3
Inverness
2
Draw
0
Livingston
Sept 2026Livingston – Inverness CT2–2
Oct 2024Livingston – Inverness CT2–2
Feb 2023Livingston – Inverness CT0–3
Jul 2022Livingston – Inverness CT1–2
Feb 2020Inverness CT – Livingston1–0
Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Partick13+1025
2Raith Rovers13+1124
3Dunfermline13+824
4Stenhousemuir13+123
5Livingston13+720
6Inverness CT13+119
7Ayr Utd12-115
8Arbroath13-1511
9Morton12-810
10Queen's Park13-147
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Inverness CT 33%, the draw 27%, Livingston 39%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.53 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.16 for Inverness CT, 1.29 for Livingston), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Inverness CT sit 6th on 19 points; Livingston are 5th on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.