Over 1.5 goals@1.35
Over 1.5
74%
SCOChampionship · Matchday 11Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
Inverness CT
6th · 19 pts2–0FULL TIME
Arbroath
8th · 11 pts65% Inverness
21% Draw
14% Arbroath
OUR PICK
Inverness CT to win
Model probability 65% · fair odds
1.55
Expected goals
1.89 – 0.74
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.55X4.6727.17
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.96
Both scoreGG2.14NG1.80
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.96
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.80
NG
56%
Double chance@1.16
1X
86%
Season stats
Inverness CTArbroath1.3Goals per game0.5
1.2Conceded per game1.7
1.46Points per game0.85
38%Win rate23%
1Goal difference-15
9Form, last 5 (pts)0
Inverness CT form
LWWLWA Dunfermline5–1
A Raith Rovers0–2
H Arbroath2–0
A Queen's Park2–1
H Stenhousemuir2–0
Arbroath form
LLLLLH Raith Rovers0–4
A Livingston1–0
A Inverness CT2–0
H Morton1–2
A Partick3–0
Head to head
2
Inverness
1
Draw
2
Arbroath
Oct 2026Inverness CT – Arbroath2–0
Aug 2026Arbroath – Inverness CT0–0
Apr 2025Inverness CT – Arbroath3–0
Feb 2025Arbroath – Inverness CT3–0
Dec 2024Inverness CT – Arbroath0–2
Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Partick13+1025
2Raith Rovers13+1124
3Dunfermline13+824
4Stenhousemuir13+123
5Livingston13+720
6Inverness CT13+119
7Ayr Utd12-115
8Arbroath13-1511
9Morton12-810
10Queen's Park13-147
Match preview
Our model makes Inverness CT clear favourites, giving them a 65% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.55 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.89 for Inverness CT, 0.74 for Arbroath), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Inverness CT sit 6th on 19 points; Arbroath are 8th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.