Over 1.5 goals@1.26
Over 1.5
80%
COLPrimera A · Clausura - 17Sunday, 4 October 2026 · Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
Internacional de Bogota
8th · 28 pts1–1FULL TIME
Once Caldas
5th · 33 pts35% Internacional
24% Draw
40% Once
OUR PICK
Once Caldas to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.49
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.54
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.83X4.1022.49
Goals 2.5Over1.75Under2.19
Both scoreGG1.67NG2.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.75
Over 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.67
GG
60%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
Internacional de BogotaOnce Caldas1.4Goals per game1.6
1.4Conceded per game1.2
1.47Points per game1.74
37%Win rate42%
0Goal difference9
8Form, last 5 (pts)11
Internacional de Bogota form
WLWWDH Independiente Medellin3–1
A Alianza Valledupar1–0
H Fortaleza FC2–1
H Llaneros4–1
A Junior2–2
Once Caldas form
WWDDWA Santa Fe0–2
H Alianza Valledupar1–0
H Deportivo Pereira1–1
A Millonarios1–1
A Independiente Medellin0–2
Head to head
0
Internacional
2
Draw
3
Once
Oct 2026Internacional de Bogota – Once Caldas1–1
Apr 2026Once Caldas – Internacional de Bogota2–1
Oct 2025Internacional de Bogota – Once Caldas0–1
Apr 2025Once Caldas – Internacional de Bogota3–0
Aug 2024Internacional de Bogota – Once Caldas1–1
Primera A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19+2040
2Junior19+735
3Deportivo Pasto19+434
4America de Cali19+1033
5Once Caldas19+933
6Deportes Tolima19+1031
7Santa Fe19+729
8Internacional de Bogota19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Internacional de Bogota 35%, the draw 24%, Once Caldas 40%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.49 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.43 for Internacional de Bogota, 1.54 for Once Caldas), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Internacional de Bogota sit 8th on 28 points; Once Caldas are 5th on 33.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.