Over 1.5 goals@1.57
Over 1.5
64%
BRASerie A · Matchday 29Wednesday, 7 October 2026 · Estádio Beira Rio
Internacional
18th · 35 pts2–1FULL TIME
Corinthians
17th · 36 pts41% Internacional
29% Draw
30% Corinthians
OUR PICKSolo pick of the day
Over 1.5
Model probability 64% · fair odds
1.57
Expected goals
1.19 – 0.97
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.44X3.4223.35
Goals 2.5Over2.55Under1.58
Both scoreGG2.19NG1.76
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.58
Under 2.5
63%
Both teams to score@1.76
NG
57%
Double chance@1.41
12
71%
Season stats
InternacionalCorinthians1.1Goals per game1.1
1.3Conceded per game1.3
1.06Points per game1.09
24%Win rate27%
-5Goal difference-6
7Form, last 5 (pts)4
Internacional form
LWLDWA Fluminense2–1
H Botafogo3–0
A Mirassol2–0
A Gremio1–1
H Corinthians2–1
Corinthians form
WLDLLH Mirassol2–0
A Vasco DA Gama3–2
H Vitoria1–1
A Palmeiras4–1
A Internacional2–1
Head to head
3
Internacional
1
Draw
1
Corinthians
Oct 2026Internacional – Corinthians2–1
Aug 2026Corinthians – Internacional2–1
Aug 2026Internacional – Corinthians2–0
Apr 2026Corinthians – Internacional0–1
Oct 2025Internacional – Corinthians1–1
Serie A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Flamengo33+4073
2Palmeiras33+3470
3Cruzeiro33+657
4Fluminense33+1054
5Atletico Paranaense33+1054
6Bahia33+653
7Atletico-MG33+550
8Santos33+247
9RB Bragantino33+444
10Sao Paulo33043
Match preview
Our model makes Internacional slight favourites, giving them a 41% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.44 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (1.19 for Internacional, 0.97 for Corinthians), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Internacional sit 18th on 35 points; Corinthians are 17th on 36.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.