Over 1.5 goals@1.04
Over 1.5
97%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 32Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · Nu Stadium
Inter Miami
2–2FULL TIME
FC Cincinnati
66% Inter
15% Draw
19% FC
OUR PICK
Inter Miami to win
Model probability 66% · fair odds
1.51
Expected goals
3.37 – 1.86
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.51X6.6625.32
Goals 2.5Over1.12Under8.58
Both scoreGG1.23NG5.24
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.12
Over 2.5
89%
Both teams to score@1.23
GG
82%
Double chance@1.18
12
85%
Inter Miami form
WDLWWA New England Revolution1–2
H FC Cincinnati2–2
A New York Red Bulls2–0
A Atlanta United FC1–3
H New York City FC2–0
FC Cincinnati form
WDWWLH Philadelphia Union1–0
A Inter Miami2–2
A DC United0–2
H DC United2–1
H Columbus Crew0–2
Head to head
2
Inter
2
Draw
1
FC
Oct 2026Inter Miami – FC Cincinnati2–2
May 2026FC Cincinnati – Inter Miami3–5
Nov 2025FC Cincinnati – Inter Miami0–4
Jul 2025Inter Miami – FC Cincinnati0–0
Jul 2025FC Cincinnati – Inter Miami3–0
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo32+351
6Los Angeles FC32+1547
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Colorado Rapids33-143
9Seattle Sounders33-343
10Real Salt Lake33042
Match preview
Our model makes Inter Miami clear favourites, giving them a 66% chance of winning against 15% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.51 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 5.2 goals in total (3.37 for Inter Miami, 1.86 for FC Cincinnati), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.