Over 1.5 goals@1.12
Over 1.5
90%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 28Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Nu Stadium
Inter Miami
4–0FULL TIME
DC United
68% Inter
17% Draw
15% DC
OUR PICK
Inter Miami to win
Model probability 68% · fair odds
1.47
Expected goals
2.64 – 1.20
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.47X5.9626.54
Goals 2.5Over1.36Under3.63
Both scoreGG1.54NG2.70
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.36
Over 2.5
74%
Both teams to score@1.54
GG
65%
Double chance@1.18
1X
85%
Inter Miami form
WDLWWA New England Revolution1–2
H FC Cincinnati2–2
A New York Red Bulls2–0
A Atlanta United FC1–3
H New York City FC2–0
DC United form
LLLLLA Columbus Crew3–0
A Toronto FC2–1
H FC Cincinnati0–2
A FC Cincinnati2–1
A Orlando City SC4–1
Head to head
4
Inter
1
Draw
0
DC
Oct 2026Inter Miami – DC United4–0
Mar 2026DC United – Inter Miami1–2
Sept 2025Inter Miami – DC United3–2
Aug 2025DC United – Inter Miami1–1
May 2024Inter Miami – DC United1–0
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo33+151
6Los Angeles FC33+1347
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Portland Timbers33-143
9Colorado Rapids33-143
10Seattle Sounders33-343
Match preview
Our model makes Inter Miami clear favourites, giving them a 68% chance of winning against 17% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.47 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.8 goals in total (2.64 for Inter Miami, 1.20 for DC United), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.