Over 1.5 goals@1.46
Over 1.5
68%
NGANPFL · Matchday 11Sunday, 1 November 2026
Inter Lagos
20th · 3 pts1–1FULL TIME
Ranchers Bees
19th · 9 pts23% Inter
27% Draw
50% Ranchers
OUR PICK
Ranchers Bees to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
1.99
Expected goals
0.90 – 1.46
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.31X3.7621.99
Goals 2.5Over2.25Under1.72
Both scoreGG2.05NG1.84
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.72
Under 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.84
NG
54%
Double chance@1.30
X2
77%
Season stats
Inter LagosRanchers Bees0.5Goals per game1.1
1.8Conceded per game1.4
0.27Points per game0.90
9%Win rate20%
-14Goal difference-3
2Form, last 5 (pts)3
Inter Lagos form
DLLLDH Ranchers Bees1–1
A Kun Khalifat FC1–0
H Nasarawa United0–2
A Warri Wolves3–1
H Katsina United1–1
Ranchers Bees form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Inter
0
Draw
0
Ranchers
These sides haven't met recently.
NPFL table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Rivers United11+1018
2Enugu Rangers9+518
3Bendel Insurance10+318
4Kano Pillars11+318
5Nasarawa United11+117
6Plateau United11+416
7Barau FC11+316
8Niger Tornadoes11+116
9Katsina United11-116
10Shooting Stars11+115
Match preview
Our model makes Ranchers Bees slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.99 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (0.90 for Inter Lagos, 1.46 for Ranchers Bees), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Inter Lagos sit 20th on 3 points; Ranchers Bees are 19th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.