Over 1.5 goals@1.21
Over 1.5
83%
ITASerie A · Matchday 11Sunday, 8 November 2026
Inter
2nd · 25 pts18:00KICK-OFF WAT
Como
5th · 20 pts47% Inter
23% Draw
30% Como
OUR PICK
Inter to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.13
Expected goals
1.79 – 1.39
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.13X4.3423.34
Goals 2.5Over1.62Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.60NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.62
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.60
GG
63%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
InterComo2.6Goals per game1.9
1.3Conceded per game0.9
2.50Points per game2.22
80%Win rate67%
13Goal difference9
12Form, last 5 (pts)10
Inter form
LWWWWA AC Milan3–1
A Venezia0–2
H Fiorentina2–1
H Shakhtar Donetsk1–0
A Bologna1–3
Como form
WWWWWH Venezia1–0
A Torino1–3
H Sassuolo2–0
H Manchester United4–1
A Fiorentina1–3
Head to head
4
Inter
1
Draw
0
Como
Apr 2026Inter – Como3–2
Apr 2026Como – Inter3–4
Mar 2026Como – Inter0–0
Dec 2025Inter – Como4–0
May 2025Como – Inter0–2
Serie A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Lazio9+1525
2Inter10+1325
3AS Roma10+1824
4AC Milan10+921
5Como9+920
6Frosinone9+817
7Napoli9+614
8Bologna10+114
9Juventus9+114
10Torino9013
Match preview
Our model makes Inter slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.13 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.79 for Inter, 1.39 for Como), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Inter sit 2nd on 25 points; Como are 5th on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.