Over 1.5 goals@1.34
Over 1.5
75%
ARGLiga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 16Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Estadio Presidente Peron
Instituto Cordoba
9th · 21 pts22:00KICK-OFF WAT
Newells Old Boys
14th · 15 pts59% Instituto
23% Draw
18% Newells
OUR PICK
Instituto Cordoba to win
Model probability 59% · fair odds
1.70
Expected goals
1.79 – 0.88
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.70X4.3525.50
Goals 2.5Over1.89Under1.99
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.95
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.99
Under 2.5
50%
Both teams to score@1.95
NG
51%
Double chance@1.22
1X
82%
Season stats
Instituto CordobaNewells Old Boys1.1Goals per game0.9
1.1Conceded per game1.7
1.31Points per game0.94
38%Win rate19%
0Goal difference-12
11Form, last 5 (pts)6
Instituto Cordoba form
DWWDWA Estudiantes L.P.3–3
H Deportivo Riestra1–0
A Defensa Y Justicia0–1
H Boca Juniors2–2
A Independiente1–4
Newells Old Boys form
DDWLDH Union Santa Fe1–1
A San Lorenzo0–0
H Central Cordoba de Santiago2–1
A Gimnasia M.1–0
H Lanus0–0
Head to head
2
Instituto
1
Draw
0
Newells
Apr 2026Newells Old Boys – Instituto Cordoba1–1
Jun 2024Newells Old Boys – Instituto Cordoba0–2
Feb 2023Instituto Cordoba – Newells Old Boys3–1
Liga Profesional Argentina table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231
2Boca Juniors16+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16+628
4Talleres Cordoba16+426
5Independiente16+424
6Lanus16+324
7San Lorenzo16022
8Union Santa Fe16+421
9Instituto Cordoba16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
Match preview
Our model makes Instituto Cordoba clear favourites, giving them a 59% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.70 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.79 for Instituto Cordoba, 0.88 for Newells Old Boys), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Instituto Cordoba sit 9th on 21 points; Newells Old Boys are 14th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.