Over 1.5 goals@1.92
Over 1.5
52%
ARGLiga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 12Friday, 9 October 2026 · Estadio Presidente Peron
Instituto Cordoba
9th · 21 pts2–2FULL TIME
Boca Juniors
2nd · 30 pts21% Instituto
32% Draw
47% Boca
OUR PICK
Boca Juniors to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.14
Expected goals
0.64 – 1.11
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.74X3.1222.14
Goals 2.5Over3.63Under1.34
Both scoreGG2.95NG1.46
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.34
Under 2.5
74%
Both teams to score@1.46
NG
68%
Double chance@1.27
X2
79%
Season stats
Instituto CordobaBoca Juniors1.1Goals per game1.4
1.1Conceded per game0.6
1.31Points per game1.88
38%Win rate50%
0Goal difference13
11Form, last 5 (pts)13
Instituto Cordoba form
DWWDWA Estudiantes L.P.3–3
H Deportivo Riestra1–0
A Defensa Y Justicia0–1
H Boca Juniors2–2
A Independiente1–4
Boca Juniors form
WWWWLH River Plate1–0
A Independiente0–1
A Vasco DA Gama1–3
H Talleres Cordoba2–1
H Vasco DA Gama0–1
Head to head
1
Instituto
2
Draw
1
Boca
Oct 2026Instituto Cordoba – Boca Juniors2–2
Mar 2026Boca Juniors – Instituto Cordoba2–0
Jul 2024Instituto Cordoba – Boca Juniors0–0
Mar 2023Boca Juniors – Instituto Cordoba2–3
Liga Profesional Argentina table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231
2Boca Juniors16+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16+628
4Talleres Cordoba16+426
5Independiente16+424
6Lanus16+324
7San Lorenzo16022
8Union Santa Fe16+421
9Instituto Cordoba16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
Match preview
Our model makes Boca Juniors slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 32% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.14 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.8 goals in total (0.64 for Instituto Cordoba, 1.11 for Boca Juniors), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Instituto Cordoba sit 9th on 21 points; Boca Juniors are 2nd on 30.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.