Over 1.5 goals@1.43
Over 1.5
70%
ARGLiga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 13Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini
Independ. Rivadavia
2–2FULL TIME
Tigre
56% Independ.
25% Draw
19% Tigre
OUR PICK
Independ. Rivadavia to win
Model probability 56% · fair odds
1.79
Expected goals
1.61 – 0.83
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.79X4.0225.19
Goals 2.5Over2.14Under1.79
Both scoreGG2.10NG1.82
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.79
Under 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.82
NG
55%
Double chance@1.24
1X
81%
Independ. Rivadavia form
WLDLDH Banfield3–1
A Argentinos JRS1–0
H Tigre2–2
A Rosario Central5–0
H Gimnasia L.P.1–1
Tigre form
WLDLLA Huracan0–2
H Atletico Tucuman0–1
A Independ. Rivadavia2–2
H Banfield1–2
A Argentinos JRS2–1
Head to head
3
Independ.
2
Draw
0
Tigre
Oct 2026Independ. Rivadavia – Tigre2–2
Jul 2026Independ. Rivadavia – Tigre1–0
Apr 2026Tigre – Independ. Rivadavia0–2
Sept 2025Tigre – Independ. Rivadavia1–3
Aug 2025Tigre – Independ. Rivadavia1–1
Liga Profesional Argentina table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231
2Boca Juniors16+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16+628
4Talleres Cordoba16+426
5Independiente16+424
6Lanus16+324
7San Lorenzo16022
8Union Santa Fe16+421
9Instituto Cordoba16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
Match preview
Our model makes Independ. Rivadavia clear favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.79 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.61 for Independ. Rivadavia, 0.83 for Tigre), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.