Over 1.5 goals@1.65
Over 1.5
60%
SOUK League 1 · Matchday 31Friday, 9 October 2026 · Sungui Arena Park
Incheon United
6th · 46 pts3–0FULL TIME
Pohang Steelers
9th · 42 pts48% Incheon
29% Draw
23% Pohang
OUR PICK
Incheon United to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.07
Expected goals
1.27 – 0.77
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.07X3.4324.43
Goals 2.5Over2.86Under1.50
Both scoreGG2.42NG1.63
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.50
Under 2.5
67%
Both teams to score@1.63
NG
61%
Double chance@1.29
1X
77%
Season stats
Incheon UnitedPohang Steelers1.3Goals per game0.9
1.1Conceded per game1.2
1.39Points per game1.27
36%Win rate33%
8Goal difference-9
9Form, last 5 (pts)6
Incheon United form
WWDWDA FC Seoul0–1
H Jeju United FC3–1
A Gangwon FC1–1
H Pohang Steelers3–0
A Gangwon FC0–0
Pohang Steelers form
DLDDLH Jeju United FC1–1
A Kashima3–0
A Ulsan Hyundai FC2–2
H FC Anyang0–0
H Johor Darul Takzim FC0–2
Head to head
1
Incheon
1
Draw
3
Pohang
Oct 2026Incheon United – Pohang Steelers3–0
May 2026Incheon United – Pohang Steelers0–1
Mar 2026Pohang Steelers – Incheon United1–1
Sept 2024Pohang Steelers – Incheon United1–0
Jun 2024Incheon United – Pohang Steelers1–3
K League 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Seoul33+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC33+551
3Daejeon Citizen33+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors33+1048
5Gangwon FC33+1048
6Incheon United33+846
7Jeju United FC33+246
8FC Anyang33-843
9Pohang Steelers33-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC33-834
Match preview
Our model makes Incheon United slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.07 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.0 goals in total (1.27 for Incheon United, 0.77 for Pohang Steelers), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Incheon United sit 6th on 46 points; Pohang Steelers are 9th on 42.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.