Over 1.5 goals@1.59
Over 1.5
63%
SOUK League 1 · Matchday 33Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Sungui Arena Park
Incheon United
6th · 46 pts3–1FULL TIME
Jeju United FC
7th · 46 pts43% Incheon
29% Draw
28% Jeju
OUR PICK
Incheon United to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.34
Expected goals
1.21 – 0.92
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.34X3.4123.57
Goals 2.5Over2.62Under1.56
Both scoreGG2.25NG1.73
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.56
Under 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.73
NG
58%
Double chance@1.39
1X
72%
Season stats
Incheon UnitedJeju United FC1.3Goals per game1.2
1.1Conceded per game1.1
1.39Points per game1.39
36%Win rate36%
8Goal difference2
9Form, last 5 (pts)4
Incheon United form
WWDWDA FC Seoul0–1
H Jeju United FC3–1
A Gangwon FC1–1
H Pohang Steelers3–0
A Gangwon FC0–0
Jeju United FC form
DLLLWA Pohang Steelers1–1
A Incheon United3–1
A Jeonbuk Motors3–2
A FC Seoul2–1
A Gangwon FC0–1
Head to head
3
Incheon
1
Draw
1
Jeju
Oct 2026Incheon United – Jeju United FC3–1
Aug 2026Jeju United FC – Incheon United3–3
Apr 2026Incheon United – Jeju United FC1–0
Oct 2024Incheon United – Jeju United FC1–2
Aug 2024Jeju United FC – Incheon United0–1
K League 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Seoul33+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC33+551
3Daejeon Citizen33+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors33+1048
5Gangwon FC33+1048
6Incheon United33+846
7Jeju United FC33+246
8FC Anyang33-843
9Pohang Steelers33-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC33-834
Match preview
Our model makes Incheon United slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.34 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (1.21 for Incheon United, 0.92 for Jeju United FC), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Incheon United sit 6th on 46 points; Jeju United FC are 7th on 46.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.