Over 1.5 goals@1.68
Over 1.5
59%
SRBSuper Liga · Matchday 11Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Stadion FK IMT
IMT Novi Beograd
5th · 22 pts1–0FULL TIME
Radnik Surdulica
6th · 20 pts47% IMT
30% Draw
24% Radnik
OUR PICK
IMT Novi Beograd to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.15
Expected goals
1.22 – 0.78
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.15X3.3524.22
Goals 2.5Over2.95Under1.48
Both scoreGG2.48NG1.62
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.48
Under 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.62
NG
62%
Double chance@1.31
1X
76%
Season stats
IMT Novi BeogradRadnik Surdulica1.1Goals per game1.3
0.6Conceded per game1.2
1.57Points per game1.43
43%Win rate36%
6Goal difference1
8Form, last 5 (pts)7
IMT Novi Beograd form
DLLWWH Cukaricki0–0
A Grafičar2–0
H Železničar Pančevo0–1
A Novi Pazar1–2
H Radnik Surdulica1–0
Radnik Surdulica form
WLWLDA Borac Cacak1–2
A Radnicki 19231–0
H Radnicki NIS3–0
A IMT Novi Beograd1–0
H FK Partizan4–4
Head to head
3
IMT
1
Draw
1
Radnik
Oct 2026IMT Novi Beograd – Radnik Surdulica1–0
Mar 2026IMT Novi Beograd – Radnik Surdulica0–0
Oct 2025Radnik Surdulica – IMT Novi Beograd0–1
Sept 2025Radnik Surdulica – IMT Novi Beograd2–0
May 2024IMT Novi Beograd – Radnik Surdulica5–2
Super Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FK Crvena Zvezda14+3140
2Vojvodina14+1832
3Železničar Pančevo13+1026
4Radnicki 192314+523
5IMT Novi Beograd14+622
6Radnik Surdulica14+120
7Cukaricki14-119
8Mladost Lucani14-718
9FK Partizan14017
10Novi Pazar14-316
Match preview
Our model makes IMT Novi Beograd slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 30% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.15 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.0 goals in total (1.22 for IMT Novi Beograd, 0.78 for Radnik Surdulica), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
IMT Novi Beograd sit 5th on 22 points; Radnik Surdulica are 6th on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.