Over 1.5 goals@1.78
Over 1.5
56%
SRBSuper Liga · Matchday 13Friday, 23 October 2026 · Vozdovac Stadium
IMT Novi Beograd
4th · 22 pts0–1FULL TIME
Železničar Pančevo
3rd · 26 pts39% IMT
32% Draw
29% Železničar
OUR PICK
IMT Novi Beograd to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.53
Expected goals
1.04 – 0.84
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.53X3.1423.48
Goals 2.5Over3.25Under1.41
Both scoreGG2.55NG1.58
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.41
Under 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.58
NG
63%
Double chance@1.40
1X
71%
Season stats
IMT Novi BeogradŽelezničar Pančevo1.1Goals per game1.6
0.6Conceded per game0.8
1.57Points per game2.00
43%Win rate62%
6Goal difference10
8Form, last 5 (pts)15
IMT Novi Beograd form
No recent matches.
Železničar Pančevo form
WWWWWA Radnicki 19231–2
A IMT Novi Beograd0–1
H FK Partizan1–0
A Zemun0–3
H Cukaricki2–1
Head to head
0
IMT
1
Draw
4
Železničar
Oct 2026IMT Novi Beograd – Železničar Pančevo0–1
Dec 2025Železničar Pančevo – IMT Novi Beograd1–0
Aug 2025IMT Novi Beograd – Železničar Pančevo1–4
May 2025IMT Novi Beograd – Železničar Pančevo0–1
Dec 2024IMT Novi Beograd – Železničar Pančevo1–1
Super Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FK Crvena Zvezda14+3140
2Vojvodina14+1832
3Železničar Pančevo13+1026
4IMT Novi Beograd14+622
5Radnicki 192313+320
6Cukaricki14-119
7Mladost Lucani13-618
8Radnik Surdulica13017
9Novi Pazar13-116
10FK Partizan13-314
Match preview
Our model makes IMT Novi Beograd slight favourites, giving them a 39% chance of winning against 32% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.53 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (1.04 for IMT Novi Beograd, 0.84 for Železničar Pančevo), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
IMT Novi Beograd sit 4th on 22 points; Železničar Pančevo are 3rd on 26.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.