Over 1.5 goals@1.33
Over 1.5
75%
NGANPFL · Matchday 12Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Mobolaji Johnson Arena
Ikorodu City
13th · 14 pts16:00KICK-OFF WAT
Inter Lagos
20th · 3 pts71% Ikorodu
19% Draw
10% Inter
OUR PICK
Ikorodu City to win
Model probability 71% · fair odds
1.42
Expected goals
2.06 – 0.64
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.42X5.2729.61
Goals 2.5Over1.98Under1.93
Both scoreGG2.30NG1.70
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.98
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.70
NG
59%
Double chance@1.12
1X
90%
Season stats
Ikorodu CityInter Lagos1.4Goals per game0.5
1.2Conceded per game1.8
1.27Points per game0.27
27%Win rate9%
2Goal difference-14
5Form, last 5 (pts)2
Ikorodu City form
DDLWLA Doma United2–2
H Shooting Stars2–2
A Niger Tornadoes2–1
H Kwara United2–0
A Rivers United2–0
Inter Lagos form
DLLLDH Ranchers Bees1–1
A Kun Khalifat FC1–0
H Nasarawa United0–2
A Warri Wolves3–1
H Katsina United1–1
Head to head
0
Ikorodu
0
Draw
0
Inter
These sides haven't met recently.
NPFL table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Rivers United11+1018
2Enugu Rangers9+518
3Bendel Insurance10+318
4Kano Pillars11+318
5Nasarawa United11+117
6Plateau United11+416
7Barau FC11+316
8Niger Tornadoes11+116
9Katsina United11-116
10Shooting Stars11+115
Match preview
Our model makes Ikorodu City clear favourites, giving them a 71% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.42 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (2.06 for Ikorodu City, 0.64 for Inter Lagos), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Ikorodu City sit 13th on 14 points; Inter Lagos are 20th on 3.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.